Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001023 0.001159 0.001302 0.001463 0.001639 0.001826 0.002038
2024-12-15 0.000767 0.000950 0.001155 0.001402 0.001689 0.002009 0.002392
2024-12-22 0.000635 0.000836 0.001073 0.001370 0.001727 0.002140 0.002649
2024-12-29 0.000547 0.000762 0.001024 0.001365 0.001788 0.002290 0.002927
2025-01-05 0.000480 0.000703 0.000986 0.001364 0.001846 0.002433 0.003193
2025-01-12 0.000420 0.000646 0.000942 0.001348 0.001881 0.002544 0.003418
2025-01-19 0.000367 0.000591 0.000895 0.001324 0.001899 0.002630 0.003612
2025-01-26 0.000339 0.000568 0.000888 0.001351 0.001984 0.002801 0.003914
2025-02-02 0.000313 0.000546 0.000879 0.001372 0.002060 0.002961 0.004204
2025-02-09 0.000277 0.000505 0.000842 0.001351 0.002075 0.003039 0.004388
2025-02-16 0.000245 0.000467 0.000803 0.001325 0.002080 0.003102 0.004552
2025-02-23 0.000227 0.000449 0.000794 0.001340 0.002143 0.003243 0.004821
2025-03-02 0.000210 0.000432 0.000786 0.001356 0.002209 0.003393 0.005108
2025-03-09 0.000184 0.000396 0.000746 0.001322 0.002201 0.003438 0.005253
2025-03-16 0.000160 0.000362 0.000706 0.001285 0.002185 0.003470 0.005379
2025-03-23 0.000145 0.000343 0.000688 0.001282 0.002218 0.003572 0.005603
2025-03-30 0.000132 0.000326 0.000672 0.001280 0.002254 0.003678 0.005834
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.000305 0.000650 0.001266 0.002267 0.003751 0.006019
2025-04-13 0.000105 0.000284 0.000623 0.001242 0.002266 0.003801 0.006171
2025-04-20 0.000099 0.000278 0.000625 0.001269 0.002344 0.003969 0.006497
2025-04-27 0.000094 0.000272 0.000624 0.001289 0.002412 0.004125 0.006807
2025-05-04 0.000083 0.000254 0.000601 0.001269 0.002413 0.004179 0.006966
2025-05-11 0.000074 0.000236 0.000576 0.001243 0.002405 0.004218 0.007104